Mandalorian movie now a certified flop, and new Supergirl movie may be next

John Nolte at Breitbart recently spoke about how the Mandalorian and Grogu film has thudded harder in its 2nd week:

Back in 2018, when Solo: A Star Wars Story was bombing, it grossed $29.3 million in its second weekend, which represented a collapse of 65.2 percent. After ten days, its total gross was just $149 million.

The Mandalorian and Grogu’s second weekend gross will land at right around $23 million, which will put its ten day gross at around $135 million.

The Mandalorian will be lucky to cross $175 to $200 million domestic.

We’ll see what the overseas number looks like, but $450 to $500 million is the likely break-even number. Solo died off with $393 million global. The Mandalorian will be lucky to hit $300 to $350 million.

So, yeah, Disney’s groomers are looking at a massive loss.

Tee hee.

Gee, how will Disney blame the fans for this one? In the past (and even though pretty much every Star Wars fan loves the female-led Rogue One), we’ve been slandered as sexist for hating on Disney’s Skywalker sequel trilogy. Well, The Mandalorian is led by a guy. We’ve been smeared as homophobic for hating all the queer shit in Solo (pansexual, robot-humping Lando). Well, as far as I can tell, the Mandalorian character isn’t queer.

Disney will never blame itself. So what’s left…?

You gonna blame it on Star Wars fatigue when there hasn’t been a Star Wars movie in seven years?

It is pretty fascinating how, when the last of the previous trilogy left theaters, so too did pretty much anything else SW-related. The excitement of the SW franchise, alas, is gone, and the Mandalorian movie's proven it by now.

In addition to the above news, Nolte also brought up the overall costs of the Supergirl film's production, and how the box office prospects don't look good:

Tucked away inside the far-left Deadline’s free ad (“Supergirl Advance Tickets Go On Sale Before DC Pic’s June 26 Opening”) for the upcoming Supergirl is the real news: this sucker cost $175 million to produce.

From here, the math is pretty simple. Add at least $75 million for promotion (that’s me being generous), and what we have here is a price tag of a quarter of a billion — with a “B” — dollars.

That puts its break-even number somewhere between $450 to $550 million. Early tracking says that’s not happening.

Quite laughably, Deadline writes: “Supergirl we hear cost $175M net before global P&A spend with breakeven at $315 global box office.”

You catch that? The “breakeven at $315” million??? Really, breakeven is $315 million off of a $175 million production budget that doesn’t even include promotion costs?

Yeah, no — no way.

But that’s the magic of being a major studio in a corrupt media world where everyone wants access and your advertising — the more your movie costs, the lower the breakeven number. Yep, Democrats sure got it good.

Already, early box office tracking for Supergirl is not good. As we get closer to the late June release date, these numbers could go up or down, but as of now a $47 to $65 million domestic opening is expected. That is less than half of Superman’s $125 million opening in July of 2025, and Superman only grossed $618 million global. Warner Bros. and director James Gunn insist Superman still made a profit. Color me skeptical.

There's only so many "blockbusters" today that could seemingly make millions and still not turn a profit, or not make enough money to fully cover all the productiona and promotional costs. Even so, it's a shame anybody should spend so much money going to theaters for all these modern films that're little more than special effects-flooded junk. In the end, what I certainly think is that it's a terrible shame Otto Binder and Al Plastino's wonderful Silver Age creation for building up the Superman family will be done another injustice, easily worse than the 1984 film starring Helen Slater. Sometimes, it's better for some classic creations to just remain on the printed page, where it can be much more relaxing as a reading experience than as a movie.